Gold Price Forecast | Covid-19 epidemic resumed in US and EU | IFCM New Zealand

Technical Analysis XAUSnP : 2020-06-29

Recommendation for Gold vs SP500:

Buy
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Above 0,59

Buy Stop

Below 0,52

Stop Loss

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Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 1572
IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Neutral
MACD Buy
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Buy
Bollinger Bands Buy

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe, XAUSnP: D1 went out of the downtrend. A number of indicators of technical analysis formed signals for a further increase. We do not exclude bullish movement if XAUSnP rises above the last upper fractal: 0.59. This level can be used as an entry point. We can set a stop loss below the Parabolic signal, the 200-day moving average line and the last 2 lower fractals: 0.52. After opening the pending order, we move the stop loss following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the trend. If the price meets the stop loss level (0.52) without activating the order (0.59), it is recommended to delete the order: some internal changes in the market have not been taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

In the United States and other countries, the number of Covid-19 patients is increasing. This could slow down the world economic recovery and increase global risks. Will the gold instrument XAUSnP quotes rise?

The upward movement is observed when gold rises in price and the S&P500 stock index decreases. In the USA, there is an increase in coronavirus cases, which may have a negative impact on the economy and stock prices. However, gold may be in demand as a protective asset. Several US states (Alabama, California, Idaho, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, Oklahoma, South Carolina, and Wyoming) announced a record increase in Covid-19 cases last week. Texas and Florida have restored a number of quarantine measures. There are currently 2.5 million people in the United States who have contracted the disease. Of these, 127,000 have already died and 700,000 have recovered (i.e. since the epidemic began). In the European Union, there are 750,000 patients with coronavirus, of whom 61,000 died. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), this week the number of Covid-19 patients worldwide will reach 10 million, and the number of deaths - 500 thousand. Probably, the quotes of this gold instrument may depend on information on the development of the situation with the coronavirus pandemic in the world and in the USA.

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