Dollar sentiment improved despite yield curve inversion

8/4/2019

US dollar bullish bets rose significantly to $32.29 billion from $29.27 billion against the major currencies during the one week period, according to the report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) covering data up to April 2 and released on Friday April 5. The dollar sentiment improved despite Treasury yield curve inversion – as the spread between three-month and 10-year yields turned negative, considered to be a predictor of economic recession.


CFTC Sentiment vs Exchange Rate

April 02 2019BiasEx RateTrendPosition $ mlnWeekly Change
CADbearishnegative-3323-365
AUDbearishpositive-3938-109
EURbearishpositive-13886-2574
GBPbearishnegative-815-107
CHFbearishpositive-3290144
JPYbearishnegative-7044-17
  Total-32297 

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